Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.511751 1.729213 1.967183 2.246972 2.567023 2.921824 3.345181
2024-12-22 1.176848 1.469741 1.819367 2.267734 2.828012 3.505803 4.389337
2024-12-29 0.992882 1.316863 1.727328 2.286059 3.027971 3.981081 5.301650
2025-01-05 0.840699 1.171273 1.611007 2.239567 3.116859 4.300902 6.025869
2025-01-12 0.723670 1.052119 1.507861 2.187518 3.178065 4.573513 6.697174
2025-01-19 0.626015 0.945440 1.405689 2.118592 3.198603 4.779616 7.281720
2025-01-26 0.599546 0.937823 1.442489 2.252066 3.523223 5.451308 8.615328
2025-02-02 0.576127 0.930986 1.477733 2.383785 3.854471 6.159967 10.072989
2025-02-09 0.547500 0.912003 1.490768 2.479460 4.134912 6.811346 11.499594
2025-02-16 0.510926 0.875693 1.471481 2.518727 4.324195 7.329111 12.751542
2025-02-23 0.463412 0.815868 1.407076 2.474617 4.366474 7.602561 13.608361
2025-03-02 0.425025 0.767684 1.357233 2.449474 4.436680 7.925921 14.577640
2025-03-09 0.395591 0.733208 1.329148 2.462233 4.579245 8.395940 15.872044
2025-03-16 0.368670 0.700698 1.301566 2.473253 4.719805 8.875756 17.234847
2025-03-23 0.345904 0.673497 1.280711 2.493898 4.878697 9.401180 18.732545
2025-03-30 0.316308 0.630242 1.225614 2.443100 4.894068 9.653658 19.717145
2025-04-06 0.289092 0.588971 1.170379 2.386273 4.890997 9.867752 20.641833
2025-04-13 0.262594 0.546585 1.109036 2.311018 4.842697 9.985606 21.376420
2025-04-20 0.261785 0.556737 1.153489 2.456749 5.263585 11.093514 24.305295
2025-04-27 0.260338 0.565338 1.195346 2.600572 5.693313 12.257420 27.468661
2025-05-04 0.254912 0.564852 1.218038 2.705043 6.047205 13.290839 30.443995
2025-05-11 0.244263 0.551920 1.212978 2.747922 6.268568 14.055178 32.884339
2025-05-18 0.226874 0.522334 1.169126 2.699755 6.279765 14.353602 34.275229